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The advance of the Hydra

1.1. Sahelian metastasis: A scenario of sovereign vacuums

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Key Insights
  • How and why jihadist violence spread to Benin and Togo — Structural weaknesses across the Sahel created power vacuums that terrorist groups like JNIM exploited.
  • Why local populations are vulnerable to recruitment. As the state is largely absent, Jihadist groups fill this gap by acting as alternative governance providers and offering economic incentives.
  • The geopolitical stakes and two possible futures — The retreat of Western powers and the fracturing of regional security institutions.
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Cite this brief
Aguado, D. C. (2026). The advance of the Hydra. EPIS Insight · Peacekeeping & Conflict Prevention.
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