Despite concerns about the reliability and predictability of U.S. foreign policy, the European Union cannot fully abandon the transatlantic alliance or substitute U.S. security guarantees.
Documents: 📂 Source Document
Allies in Uncertain Times
How U.S. Unpredictability Is Reshaping European Strategy
Key Insights
- Main question: How has the EU responded to perceived unpredictability in U.S. foreign policy under the Trump administration?
- Argument: Unpredictability erodes credibility, generating alliance uncertainty incentivizing allies to diversify partnerships rather than abandon existing alliances.
- Conclusion: In response to unpredictability in U.S. foreign policy, the EU has not abandoned the transatlantic alliance but has instead diversified its partnerships and developed limited strategic autonomy.
Cite this brief
Lohosha, S., Lima, P. (2026). Allies in Uncertain Times. EPIS Insight · International Relations & Diplomacy.