North America
Transatlantic relations, US foreign and security policy, and Canadian strategic interests.
Prospects and Consequences of the 2026 US Midterm Elections
The 2026 US Midterm elections will determine control of Congress and serve as a referendum on Donald Trump’s second term. With all 435 House seats and over a third of the Senate up for grabs, forecasts suggest Democrats may retake the House while Republicans hold a slim advantage in the Senate. K…
The U.S. Munitions Crisis: the Limits of the American Arsenal
The U.S. is facing a severe shortage of advanced interceptors and strike missiles. Caused by deep flaws in defense manufacturing, this multi-year rebuilding gap forces Washington into difficult choices that threaten its global deterrence, especially in the Indo-Pacific.
First Venezuela, Now Cuba? Implications for U.S. Operations
Following the raid on Caracas, an American oil blockade has pushed Cuba’s economy to the edge of collapse. Observers wonder whether U.S. strategy will shift from economic pressure to direct military intervention.
NATO 3.0: Burden-Sharing or Strategic Retreat?
On 7–8 July 2026, Ankara hosted the annual NATO summit. The gathering brought together transatlantic decision-makers to negotiate a series of major commitments and decisions.
United States and China Strategic Competition
Main Question: Does China’s rise threaten North American security and economic interests? Argument: Military modernization, supply chain competition, and coordinated political interference across Canada and the US exploit Western vulnerabilities while Mexico’s institutional isolation compounds re…
At the Border of Rights
North American migration policies increasingly prioritise deterrence and border security over humanitarian protection. Restrictive asylum systems, detention, and border externalisation expose women and children to violence, trafficking, trauma, and insecurity. These harms are structural consequen…
Canada’s Strategic Foresight for 2025–2035
Main question: How can Canada ensure economic survival and sovereignty while caught between an unpredictable, transactional U.S. and a coercive China Argument: Canada must adopt a pragmatic, interest-led approach by integrating defense with the U.S. while hedging risks through strategic Indo-Paci…