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ME Instability & the US-China Power Balance

Geopolitical Ripples: How Middle Eastern Conflict Shifts the Indo-Pacific Power Balance

Key Insights
  • : How does the escalation of instability in the Middle East affect the global balance of power between the U.S. and China, and what are the secondary implications for stability in the Indo-Pacific?
  • : While the U.S. faces a "credibility gap" as a security provider, China acts as a "free rider," leveraging M. Eastern energy and the BRI to bypass Indo-Pacific maritime chokepoints.
  • : Escalation in the Middle East profoundly impacts the U.S.-China rivalry across both regions
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Αny instability in the Middle East translates into immediate geopolitical pressure on the Indo-Pacific, with the security of maritime routes serving as the primary strategic stake

Electra Gkika Electra Gkika is a researcher in geopolitical analysis and international security. She holds an MSc from the University of Athens, focusing on the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) as a holistic synthesis of history and geography. Currently a Research Intern at IDIS, she analyzes China’s strategic adaptability and global foreign policy. Her mission is to provide evidence-based analysis on global power shifts and evolving diplomatic trends.

Cite this brief
Gkika, E. (2026). ME Instability & the US-China Power Balance. EPIS Insight · Security Policy & Defence.
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