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ME Instability & the US-China Power Balance

Geopolitical Ripples: How Middle Eastern Conflict Shifts the Indo-Pacific Power Balance

Key Insights
  • : How does the escalation of instability in the Middle East affect the global balance of power between the U.S. and China, and what are the secondary implications for stability in the Indo-Pacific?
  • : While the U.S. faces a "credibility gap" as a security provider, China acts as a "free rider," leveraging M. Eastern energy and the BRI to bypass Indo-Pacific maritime chokepoints.
  • : Escalation in the Middle East profoundly impacts the U.S.-China rivalry across both regions
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Αny instability in the Middle East translates into immediate geopolitical pressure on the Indo-Pacific, with the security of maritime routes serving as the primary strategic stake

Electra Gkika Stela Gkika is a young professional with an interdisciplinary background in international relations, international law, and cybersecurity governance. She is currently completing an MSc in Cybersecurity Governance at Leiden University and holds an MA in International Relations from Leiden University and a BSc in International Relations & International Law from the University of Groningen. Her interests focus on AI, cybersecurity, and regulatory responses to emerging cyber threats.

Cite this brief
Gkika, E. (2026). ME Instability & the US-China Power Balance. EPIS Insight · Security Policy & Defence.
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