The central policy problem emerging from this dynamic is that growing unpredictability among major powers forces states to reconsider their strategic positioning.
Documents: 📂 Source Document
Policy Paper: The Cost of Unpredictability
How Credibility Erosion Forces States to Adapt
Key Insights
- Main question: how can policymakers address and navigate current geopolitical situation?
- Argument: Due to the absence of a central authority in the international system, states must rely on self-help.
- Conclusion: Policymakers should therefore adopt a hedging strategy by diversifying sector-specific partnerships in critical domains such as energy security, supply chains, and digital infrastructure, as heavy dependence on a single actor in these areas may be harmful in the long term.
Cite this brief
Lohosha, S. (2026). Policy Paper: The Cost of Unpredictability. EPIS Insight · International Relations & Diplomacy.